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Contemporary View of the Acute Coronary Syndromes (Part II of II)
February 2003
The dilemma of invasive versus conservative strategies. After patients with unstable angina and NSTEMI have been stabilized with medical therapy, a decision must be made regarding risk stratification. Several randomized trials have compared outcomes with early conservative versus early invasive management in ACS. Results of these trials were conflicting and most antedated the use of platelet GP IIb/IIIa receptor inhibitors and coronary stenting (Table 3). These include TIMI-IIIB,60 VANQWISH,61,62 MATE,63 FRISC II,64,65 and TACTICS-TIMI 18.66
The TIMI-IIIB trial60 used a 2 x 2 factorial design to compare tissue-type plasminogen activator and placebo, and an early invasive strategy versus an early conservative strategy in patients with unstable angina or NSTEMI. Both strategies resulted in a similar incidence of death or myocardial infarction, with apparently similar costs (at 1-year follow-up, the incidence of death or myocardial infarction was 10.8% for early invasive versus 12.2% for early conservative strategy).
In the Veterans Affairs Non-Q Wave Infarction Strategies In-Hospital (VANQWISH) trial,61,62 patients with a non-Q wave MI were randomized to an early invasive strategy versus an early conservative strategy. During the first year, there was a significantly higher incidence of both the primary endpoint and death in the invasive arm (111 events versus 85 events, p = 0.05 for the primary endpoint; 58 deaths versus 36 deaths, p = 0.024). This difference was largely related to excess in-hospital mortality (21 patients versus 6 patients; p = 0.007), most of which were post-CABG deaths. Important limitations of this trial include marked delays in angiography and revascularization in the invasive group.
The MATE trial63 was a small, randomized trial that evaluated the outcomes of 201 patients with ACS who were ineligible for thrombolytic therapy. At hospital discharge, the primary endpoint of recurrent ischemic events or death occurred in 14 patients (13%) in the triage angiography group versus 31 patients (34%) in the conservative group (risk reduction, 45%; 95% confidence interval, 27–59%; p = 0.0002). However, long-term follow-up at a median of 21 months revealed no significant differences in the endpoints in both groups.
The FRISC II trial64,65 was the first to compare early invasive and early conservative strategies in the stenting era. At 1 year, patients randomized to the invasive arm had lower rates of death (2.2% versus 3.9%; p = 0.016), myocardial infarction (8.6% versus 11.6%; p = 0.015), death or myocardial infarction (10.4% versus 14.1%; p = 0.005). They also had less hospital readmission (37% versus 57%; p Risk stratification in acute coronary syndromes. A possible explanation of the conflicting results in the above trials is the fact that patients with ACS present with a wide spectrum of clinical risk for death and cardiac ischemic events. Ideally, one ought to be able to identify high-risk patients who might benefit mostly from an aggressive invasive approach, and those with lower risk where conservative management might be more appropriate.
Several analyses have been performed attempting to identify prognostic risk factors in patients with ACS. The most comprehensive risk assessment model to date is the TIMI risk score proposed by Antman et al.67 The TIMI risk score was derived by selection of independent prognostic factors using multivariate logistic regression, and the number of factors present were added to categorize patients into risk strata. The seven TIMI risk score predictor variables were: age >= 65 years; >= 3 risk factors for coronary artery disease; prior coronary stenosis > 50%; ST-segment deviation on electrocardiogram on presentation; >= 2 anginal events in less than 24 hours; use of aspirin in prior 7 days; and elevated serum markers (Table 4). Event rates increased significantly as the TIMI risk score increased, and ranged from 4.7% when no or one risk factor was present to 40.9% when 6 or 7 risk factors were present (Figure 7).
Using the TIMI risk score model in the TACTICS-TIMI 18 trial,66 an invasive approach was most beneficial when the TIMI risk score was 5–7 (odds ratio, 0.55; 95% confidence interval, 0.33–0.91). When the TIMI risk score is 0–2, on the other hand, early invasive or conservative approaches were similar (Figure 8).
Based on these studies, it seems that patients with ACS who are at higher risk are likely to benefit the most from an early invasive approach. In lower risk patients, both approaches yield similar outcomes, but a conservative approach might be more cost-effective. Further studies will help clarify these points.
Conclusion. ACS remains a vexing clinical problem. Past research has confirmed that plaque rupture with subsequent thrombosis is the final mechanism of ACS. New research is now uncovering the myriad processes that lead to plaque rupture. Some of the known factors include a thin fibrous cap, large lipid-rich core and predominance of inflammatory cells. Impressive clinical strides have been made in dealing with the antithrombotic approach to the treatment of ACS. Beneficial medications include aspirin, clopidogrel, unfractionated and low-molecular-weight heparins, and platelet GP IIb/IIIa receptor inhibitors. We are only now beginning to develop therapies for the earlier stages of ACS, such as the inflammatory component. Trials comparing early invasive with early conservative approaches have yielded conflicting results. Nevertheless, it appears that patients who are at higher risk by the TIMI criteria are likely to benefit the most from an early invasive approach, whereas both approaches yield similar outcomes in lower risk patients.
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