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Will Any Value Frameworks Gain Acceptance as an Informal Health Technology Assessment in the United States?

In recent years, several value frameworks, including the Institute for Clinical and Economic Review, have emerged to help payers assess the value of new drugs. These frameworks highlight efforts to adopt some type of informal health technology assessment  in the United States. While formal payer adoption of these poses several challenges for payers, there is evidence that payers are incorporating elements of these frameworks as a part of their decision-making. In this article, we will highlight therapy areas in which value frameworks are gaining traction, as well as the areas in which these frameworks will be more challenging to implement. In addition, we will discuss trends that may indicate future payer acceptance of any single value framework.


Value assessments began to take root in the United States in 2013, with 4 major organizations founded solely with the intention of providing value assessments by 2015. These include the National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN),1 the American Society of Clinical Oncology (ASCO),2 Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center (ie, Drug Abacus),3 and the Institute for Clinical and Economic Review (ICER).4 In 2016, another entity, the Innovation and Value Initative (IVI), joined their ranks.5 ASCO, NCCN, and Drug Abacus focus only on oncology products, whereas ICER and IVI have a more holistic view. Each of these organizations has perceived strengths (eg, unbiased, provision of “credit” for novel treatments, etc) and weaknesses (eg, arbitrary thresholds, lack of patient consideration, etc), which are well documented in the literature.6 Payers and decision makers do not solely utilize any of these organizations, but instead tend to gather information from them and integrate it with their own data to develop their position with respect to new market entries—a practice that has also been well established in literature.7,8 Despite this lack of formal adoption, the value frameworks of these entities are, at least partially, serving the role of health technology assessments (HTAs) within the United States. Examples of this include the developing relationship between ICER and Veterans Affairs formulary decision makers, and the impact of ICER’s PCSK9 review on the contracting practices of Sanofi/Regeneron.9,10 All of these organizations continue to evolve their framework tools based on input from the industry, and it is likely that there will be some level of coordination and consolidation as this area and these entities continues to evolve. 

In this article, we will consider some of the challenges currently faced by informal HTAs within the United States as well as where those entities may next focus their efforts. Additionally, from the industry perspective, we will discuss how best to work with informal HTAs to ensure that a product receives an appropriate review. Finally, we will discuss how to follow the evolving use of these entities by the payer community to inform industry strategic decision-making. 

Challenges to Informal HTAS in the United States

Historically, the United States has lacked a centralized HTA body tasked with assessing a drug within the context of a value framework, and it has been hesitant to adopt any formalized attempts to do so. Due to the lack of historical references, emerging value frameworks have looked to Ex-US, single-payer systems to identify methodological approaches to defining value (eg, The National Institute for Health and Care Excellence’s use of cost-effectiveness). However, the United States’ labyrinth of payer and provider stakeholders creates a unique set of challenges that value frameworks will encounter prior to broad influence and adoption in payer decision-making. 

The first challenge in adoption of value frameworks lies in the structure of the US insurance system, which is a complex, multipayer system covering diverse types of patient populations with varying costs and company objectives. The US multipayer system makes it difficult for value frameworks to define and assess the benefit of new therapies in a manner satisfactory to all stakeholders. For example, determining if societal costs associated with not using a particular treatment should be considered as a cost offset becomes a divisive point among stakeholders, as not all of those costs would actually be the responsibility of a subset of the payers. Valuation for drugs that have a durable effect presents similar issues. As an example, a payer with an expectation of maintaining responsibility for a patient over a longer time frame (eg, Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services, employers) would value certain therapies more than a commercial payer, that is likely to only have responsibility for the patient for perhaps a 2- to 3-year period. Additionally, while pharmacy and medical benefits are becoming increasingly integrated, spending across benefits is still not always viewed together. As a result, organizations that only have a single component of the cost equation may not be receptive to offsets present in other areas. 

The second challenge in payer adoption of informal HTAs relates to alignment on the definition of value and the appropriate metrics to quantify value. Using ICER as an example, some regional payers (eg, Blue Shield of California, Blue Cross Blue Shield of Massachusetts, and Harvard Pilgrim) are currently involved in the methodological development. However, among the payer community, there has not been full buy-in to ICER, or any value framework’s use of the quality-adjusted-life-year (QALY) measure. This is due, in part, to the fact that there are still disagreements on the application of QALYs. Determining the appropriate QALY threshold in the United States (eg, should it be $50,000 or $150,000 per QALY) is a significant point of disagreement. Other points of contention include the fact that QALYs are a somewhat blunt tool, incapable of differentiating nuances in outcome, and that patient context matters in that it is potentially more difficult to achieve a QALY in an older patient compared with a younger patient, given that there is less of a timeline to accrue benefit. The lack of alignment on the definition and measurement of “value” is also linked to value frameworks’ lack of transparency in their processes and methods. Payers who are not involved in the methodology development ultimately require the ability to customize model inputs to assess relative value to their plan. Generalized costs incorporated into value frameworks will not necessarily be representative of an individual payer’s true costs. Additionally, different organizations will experience variability across reimbursement dynamics that will affect how a drug’s benefit is valued. For example, community hospitals will often receive different funding than a Center of Excellence (CoE) for the same procedure. Payers will be challenged to translate a single model to their own membership breakdown by channel or disease. For example, a high-cost drug (>$500,000) may be absorbable and “cost-effective” for a large national plan or a pharmacy benefit manager who is not responsible for medical costs but potentially unaffordable for a small, self-insured employer group. 

The last challenge that may limit adoption of value frameworks by payers resides in federal and state laws around protected categories and coverage mandates coupled with limited data. The cost vs savings evaluation is the biggest driver in payer interest in utilizing value frameworks. However, for instance, in oncology (a focus area of value vs cost conversations because of the rapidly increasing cost of oncolytics) payers may have a limited ability to apply the results of value research and implement restrictions beyond the label/NCCN guidelines/compendia due to coverage mandates. Furthermore, many oncolytics manufacturers perform pivotal trials vs placebo or older standards of care (SOCs)—which limits payer ability to compare against emerging SOCs or other competitors. Thus, without the support of key opinion leaders or clinical guidelines/compendia, payers have limited ability to implement value frameworks in formulary and access decision-making. As a caveat, given the changes proposed by the Trump Administration in the American Patients First Blueprint,11 these issues may become less relevant or evolve.


 

Use of Value Frameworks in Payer Decision-Making

Although there are a number of challenges facing payers in adopting and implementing value frameworks as types of informal HTAs, such that sole reliance in the next 5 to 10 years is unlikely, there is evidence of value frameworks, like ICER’s, increasingly being used in payer decision-making. While a number of different value frameworks exist, as mentioned above, ICER seemingly has progressed the farthest in terms of incorporation into payer decision-making. A recent survey conducted by Precision Value & Health of 26 payer and integrated delivery network decision makers has demonstrated that, when investigating whether a group of payers has utilized ICER to inform drug management, the majority of respondents reported that they use ICER in at least one drug management decision (Figure 1).12 Participants were asked, “Have you utilized an ICER analysis to inform your drug management? Please select all that apply.” Furthermore, the use of value frameworks, such as ICER, in policy decision-making has significantly increased since 2016, as shown at a later period in the same study in response to the same question (Figure 2).12 Based on this research, although there is still a percentage of decision makers who have yet to use an ICER analysis, there has been a notable increase in utilization of ICER in policy development. Based on these findings, the expected evolution of future payer changes is likely to occur more quickly than a historical 5- to 10-year timeframe for policy development and implementation changes.

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While value frameworks such as ICER are increasingly being utilized by payers, their impact varies by therapeutic area (TA). At a high level, areas most easily analyzed with value frameworks and implemented into payer decision-making are those TAs where drugs’ short-term benefit can be measured, patients have similar health status, and comparators exist in the market. As ICER may be considered the “most developed” value framework and has served as a reference for payers in some categories, it will likely be an early analog for the evolution of future value-based frameworks. 

Existing or increasingly competitive classes are an example of where payers are likely to or have begun to implement ICER assessments in their policy decision-making. For example, diabetes and rheumatoid arthritis represent 2 historically competitive TAs that payers have already been able to force more competition among manufacturers to obtain more competitive prices and contracts. ICER published a report on its review of metformin, sulfonylureas, glucagon-like peptide-1(GLP-1) receptor agonists, dipeptidyl peptidase 4 (DPP-4) inhibitors, and different types of insulin in 2014; a report on targeted immune modulators for treatment of rheumatoid arthritis was published in 2017.13,14 In the future, a TA that may fall into a similar category is in the migraine space, where 3 preventive agents are likely to enter the market within 6 months of each other along with a number of acute therapies on the horizon. ICER has already published final guidelines assessing the comparative clinical effectiveness and value of these 3 treatments15; the draft assessment released in April could likely have been a factor in Amgen pricing Aimovig (erenumab) thousands of dollars lower than expected.16,17 In these types of TAs, comparative effectiveness data published in ICER reports may be used to reinforce analyses that are already being conducted internally by payers. 

However, as payers are currently not able to input data from their membership into the ICER model and the transparency is limited (and often proprietary when shared by a manufacturer prior to launch), cost data published by ICER is less likely to be useful in payer evaluations of competitive classes.

Ability of Payers to Act on Value Assessment

Value frameworks do not have limitations on which drugs or therapeutic areas they can choose to assess; however, payers’ abilities to act on value assessment is a much more complex issue. As we have discussed, there are several areas where payers will have an easier path to aligning value assessments with coverage and access management. However, in areas that are less competitive and more complex (eg, significant heterogeneity in patient health status, treatment regimens, and patient segments), it will be more difficult for value frameworks like ICER’s to influence payer behavior. Three distinct examples of where this is likely to occur are in (1) oncology; (2) areas with no SOC (eg, many orphan diseases); and (3) gene therapies or curative agents. In oncology, payers currently have limited ability to implement utilization tools, particularly without stakeholder buy-in across the system (eg, key opinion leader and patient advocacy support). Severity of illness and other quality-of-life (QOL)-based measures are given a secondary weighting in terms of cost offsets even though value frameworks seek to provide a true value assessment of a drug. For disease areas without a SOC to compare to, potential cost offsets and improvement in indirect costs due to QOL will potentially be undervalued. This was noted in the Institute for Patient Access (IfPA’s) feedback18 to ICER in 2017 on the value of improved adherence that tardive dyskinesia (TD) patients can receive from VMAT2 inhibitors. Gene therapies and curative therapies present another unique challenge for payers in implementing value frameworks into their decision-making. For example, ICER has demonstrated a hesitation to use a lifetime time window for one-time administration therapies with a longer duration of effect (eg, a cure), as their actual long-term benefits remain unknown.19 Therefore, ICER valuations will also undervalue the true impact of such agents for payers. As a result, payers will have difficulty in determining how best to utilize ICER reports for gene/curative therapies, where comparators are scarce.

Across stakeholders, there has been a shift in focus from volume to value, resulting in an increased awareness of value assessments to address rising drug costs. Therefore, payers will likely evolve to overcome implementation challenges to indirectly utilize value frameworks as informal HTAs. In oncology, pathway organizations and key opinion leaders will become key stakeholders in influencing prescribing patterns; payers are increasingly incorporating vendor pathways or developing their own internal pathways based on value assessments. Payers, particularly integrated delivery network payers, are increasingly working with manufacturers to generate evidence to support value and/or cost-offset claims relevant to their own members. Additionally, payers are increasingly looking to engage in risk-sharing contracts with manufacturers to support long-term claims through value-based price or outcomes-based agreements.

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It will be important for pharmaceutical and biotech companies to continue to monitor for trends signifying one value framework is increasing in influence, as the inputs for the “winning” framework will define the rules needed for drug assets to succeed. For one value framework to become a de facto HTA, the issues outlined above on creating a multistakeholder perspective will need to be resolved. Trends signifying a payer consensus on value could include increased contracting, pay for performance, or discounts—particularly if a specific value-framework is cited within a contract or payer guideline—as this is indicative of payers looking for external support for value-based pricing. Increased citations of a value-based framework in literature, pathways (eg, those of US Oncology, Via or AIM), as well as reference to a specific one in payer calls could also be an indicator. ICER-specific wins can potentially be identified through a greater reliance on the concept of QALY and a consensus on its value threshold within the payer space, as demonstrated through their mention in managed care literature on pathways.20,21 

Conclusion

The life sciences industry will need to factor value frameworks—and their inevitable evolution into informal HTAs—into all areas of strategic decision-making. Historically, the industry and value framework organizations have largely had an adversarial relationship. Moving forward, it will be integral to understand how these external HTAs can be externally influenced. The next step will be to consider how traditional strategic tools and communications need to change to address new access decision-maker needs. This equates to proactive messaging with respect to anticipated or actual reporting from value framework organizations. Finally, activities need to be identified (eg, evidence generation, real-world evidence) allowing for proactive mitigation of potential ramifications if and when these types of value frameworks become accepted as informal HTAs. 

References

1. National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN). NCCN Clinical Practice Guidelines in Oncology (NCCN Guidelines®) with NCCN Evidence Blocks™. nccn.org website. https://www.nccn.org/evidenceblocks/. Accessed November 1, 2018. 

2. Schnipper LE, Davidson NE, Wollins DS, et al. American Society of Clinical Oncology statement: a conceptual framework to assess the value of cancer treatment options. J Clin Oncol. 2015;33(23):2563-2577. 

3. Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center. Drug Abacus. Drugpricinglab.org website. https://drugpricinglab.org/tools/drug-abacus/. Accessed November 1, 2018.

4. Institute for Clinical and Economic Review (ICER). ICER Value Assessment Framework. icer-review.org website. https://icer-review.org/methodology/icers-methods/icer-value-assessment-framework/. Accessed November 1, 2018.

5. Innovation and Value Initiative (IVI). Open-source value project. thevalueinitiative.org website. https://www.thevalueinitiative.org/open-source-value-project/. Accessed November 1, 2018.

6. Maervoet J, Moise P, Naidoo S. Overview and comparison of frameworks for the valuation of oncology drugs. Value Health. 201619(3):A168.

7. Barham L. Value frameworks in the US: not an echo chamber. Pharm Exec. https://www.pharmexec.com/value-frameworks-us-not-echo-chamber-0. Published July 13, 2017. Accessed November 1, 2018.

8. Lising A, Rosner A, Gladman J, Drummond M, Dymaxium [poster]. Payers’ use of ICER reports in decision making. https://www.dymaxium.com/downloads/Nexus2016_poster_11x17.pdf. Published 2016. Accessed November 1, 2018.

9. Institute for Clinical and Economic Review (ICER). The Institute for Clinical and Economic Review to collaborate with the Department of Veterans Affairs’ pharmacy benefits management services office [press release]. Boston, MA; June 27, 2017. https://icer-review.org/announcements/va-release/. Accessed November 1, 2018. 

10. Institute for Clinical and Economic Review (ICER). PCSK9 Inhibitors for Treatment of High Cholesterol: Effectiveness, Value, and Value Based Price Benchmarks. https://icer-review.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/01/Final-Report-for-Posting-11-24-15-1.pdf. Published November 24, 2015. Accessed November 1, 2018.

11. US Department of Health and Human Services. American Patients First Blueprint. https://www.hhs.gov/sites/default/files/AmericanPatientsFirst.pdf. Published May 2018. Accessed November 1, 2018.

12. Precision Value & Health. Use of Institute Clinical and Economic Review (ICER) Analyses in Drug Management [proprietary survey]. Published April 2018.

13. Institute for Clinical and Economic Review (ICER). Controversies in the Management of Patients with Type 2 Diabetes. https://icer-review.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/01/CEPAC-T2D-Final-Report-December-22.pdf. Published December 2014. Accessed October, 25, 2018.

14. Institute for Clinical and Economic Review (ICER). Targeted Immune Modulators for Rheumatoid Arthritis: Effectiveness & Value. https://icer-review.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/08/NE_CEPAC_RA_Evidence_Report_FINAL_040717.pdf. Published April 7, 2017. Accessed November 1, 2018.

15. Institute for Clinical and Economic Review (ICER). Calcitonin Gene-Related Peptide (CGRP) Inhibitors as Preventive Treatments for Patients with Episodic or Chronic
Migraine: Effectiveness and Value. https://icer-review.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/
11/ICER_Migraine_Final_Evidence_Report_070318.pdf
. Published July 3, 2018.
Accessed November 1, 2018.

16. Staines R. Novartis/Amgen’s migraine drug hits market at lower than expected price. pharmaphorum. https://pharmaphorum.com/news/novartis-amgens-aimovig-hits-market-
at-lower-than-expected-price/
. Published May 18, 2018. Accessed November 1, 2018.

17. Institute for Clinical and Economic Review (ICER). Calcitonin Gene-Related Peptide (CGRP) Inhibitors as Preventive Treatments for Patients with Episodic or Chronic Migraine: Effectiveness and Value. https://icer-review.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/11/ICER_Migraine_Draft_Report_041118.pdf. Published April 11, 2018. Accessed November 1, 2018.

18. Institute for Patient Access (IfPA). Institute for Patient Access. allianceforpatientaccess.org website. https://allianceforpatientaccess.org/institute-for-patient-access/. Accessed November 1, 2018.

19. Herper M. Non-Profit Says $850,000 gene therapy is at least twice as expensive as it should be. Forbes. January 12, 2018. https://www.forbes.com/sites/matthewherper/2018/01/12/non-profit-says-850000-gene-therapy-is-at-least-twice-as-expensive-as-it-should-be/#38f71b23b979. Accessed November 1, 2018.

20. White N, Pace M, Johns A, Latch E. What ICER pricing would mean for U.S. drug spend. Managed Care Mag. September 20, 2018. https://www.managedcaremag.com/viewpoint/what-icer-pricing-would-mean-us-drug-spend. Accessed November 1, 2018.

21. Duke Margolis Health Policy. Developing a Path to Value-Based Payment for Medical Products. https://healthpolicy.duke.edu/sites/default/files/atoms/files/value_based_
payment_background_paper_-_october_2017_final.pdf
. Published April 28, 2017. Accessed November 1, 2018.